I don't think that the issue is will there be tracheal deviation in a tension pneumothorax... there will be. I think the more important question is "Is the tracheal deviation that accompanies a tension pneumothorax easy to identify on physical exam?" The answer to that, in my opinion, is no, and the pic of the very impressive tension pneumo that is accompanying this thread shows why. Take a look, no doubt there is tracheal deviation. But look above, say, the sternum, and the trachea isn't all that deviated from center. It is, a little, but not all that much, and we're looking an x-ray. Throw a bunch of adipose tissue over that neck and you might agree that it would be difficult to identify... not impossible, just not very obvious as many people think. I know some will say that you can palpate the trachea to see if it's midline, but agian, if it's not all that far off I don't know how easy it will be. And don't forget that this is about as bad as it gets (though you wouldn’t believe it by the description of the patient... unreal!), do you think that it will be easy to identify tracheal deviation on an emerging tension pneumo? Again, my opinion is no. So, while tracheal deviation certainly looks impressive on x-ray, CT, whatever, I think that we should concentrate on other clinical signs and symptoms to aid in our identification of the problem:
MOI (trauma), history (bronchorestrictive disease), or body type (tall thin male with pack o' Camels).
Worsening tachypnea, tachycardia, and hypotension leading to respiratory and cardiac arrest.
Decreasing SpO2.
Diminishing then absent lungs sounds on the effected side, maybe diminished on the opposite as well.
Tympany to percussion on the effected side.
JVD, if the patient isn't hypovolemic.
If you see tracheal deviation, great!
Did I miss anything?
Again, I'm not saying that tracheal deviation doesn't occur, my argument is that we, as EMTs, medics, and especially educators, should place more emphasis on all the other indications and not get hung up on tracheal deviation.
Anyway, that's my 0.02, based on my anecdotal experience, nothing based on science. Take it for what it's worth.